ISSN 1842-4562
Member of DOAJ

Population Growth and Democracy: An Extreme Value Analyzes in Romania’s Case


Mihai Ioan MUTASCU


Keywords

population growth, democracy, factors, connections, extreme value analysis

Abstract

The paper analyzes empirically, in Romania’s case, the relationships between population growth (dependent variable) and the dimensions of democracy (independent variables). The analysis is based on the construction of a linear “Extreme Value Model”. In Romania’s case, the probability of annual population growth to be more then 10.000 persons could be high, if the state is a dictatorial monarchy, the political regime durability is high and the abort is legal. In such conditions, the type of political regime and the abort restrictions are brought forward by the democratization intensity and political regime durability. In other words, the main results show that, in Romania’s case, the probability of annual population growth to be more then 10.000 persons could be high, if the level of democratization intensity is low and the political regime durability is high.



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