The economic studies graduates and the position of ASE on the market of economists’ preparation
In the last years the high schools became extremely attractive for the young people
in the age group 19-23 years, gross rate of capaciousness reaching 37, 9 percent
in the session 2003-2004, almost 3 percent more than the previous year. In the session
2003-2004 were enrolled more than 620 thousand students, 4,1 percent more, comparative
with the session 2002-2003, considering the condition that the school age population
of the group 19-23 scaled down by 3,2 percent.
In the short-term education (colleges) were enrolled 46, 2 thousand students, with
a weight of 7,4 percent from the total number of students.
Considering instructional forms, the gross weight consist of students that attend
day courses (77,8 percent), open and distance education being in relative growth
(11,1 percent), followed by the low frequency learning (10,7 percent), while the
ratio of evening learning lowered to 0,4 percent.
The increase in the ratio of students attending low frequency and open distance
courses are the expression of young people entering the economic activity[5] collateral to participating to the educational
process.
From viewpoint of the specialization structure in the session 2003-2004, was noted
a increase in the ratio of technical university students with 0,2 percent comparative
to the year 2000, reaching 22,3 percent. Within the specializations ratio, the academic
area has 30,2 percent, followed by the economic profile (27,8 percent), law school
(9,8 percent) and medical- pharmaceutical (5, 3 percent).
In the short-term education, the ratios are: 39,7 percent in the academic area[6], 32,2 percent in the technical
field, 13,2 economics and 14,9 percent in the field of agriculture, medical- pharmaceutical
and artistic.
Excepting the technical and agricultural education, the ratio of female students
is overwhelming.
Can also be mentioned that the particular alternative within education offer is
well represented in the higher education area. Considering that in the session 1995/1996,
the number of students of these institutions was 85.305, it reached 139.038 in the
session 2002/2003 and 143.905 in the session 2003/2004. In 2003/2004 was noticed
a increase with 4,9 thousands correlated with the year before. The ratio of this
category of students within the total number was 23,2 percent.
All the institutions of higher educations are located in municipalities and towns,
the region Bucharest-Ilfov having the biggest ratio (30,7 percent) as much in the
public sector (25 percent), as the private one (49, 5 percent), followed by the
region North-West with 14 percent. The region with the smallest ratio is the Southern
(6,5 percent).
Coming back to the position of the Academy of Economic Studies, in the figure 2
is presented the number of graduates with superior studies, beginning with 1990
until 2005, with the emphasis of ASE.
Figure 2. The number of graduates with superior economic studies -
total and ASE
Source: INS, 1990-2006.
Can be remarked the position still dominant of ASE on the market of economic universities
in Romania, the market of the economic preparation area being in a "atomization
process" by establishment of private universities in regional localities even small
sized in terms of population and potential candidates. Table 1 presents the percentage
evolution of ASE quota within all graduates of economic studies.
Table 1. Evolution of market quota of ASE from viewpoint of the number
of
graduates in the economic area
Year
|
1990
|
1997
|
1998
|
1999
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
2003
|
2004
|
2005
|
Market quota ASE
|
56,0%
|
31,7%
|
33,8%
|
25,7%
|
23,1%
|
19,4%
|
19,8%
|
19,6%
|
18,3%
|
21,9%
|
Source: Processed data provided by INS for the 1990-2006 period
A graphic representation of the market quota of ASE is presented in the next figure
(Figure 3), the image highlighting the strong decrease noticed between 1990 and
2000 and the relative stabilization afterwards.
Figure 3. The market quota of ASE from viewpoint of the weight of the
graduates
in the economic area
Source: Processed data provided by INS for the 1990-2006 period
The competition become harsh on the market of economic universities through the
establishment of economic faculties inside of state and private institutions and
gradually diminished the market quota held by the Academy of Economic Studies, from
half in 1990 and a third – 34 percent - in 1998, to a level placed around the value
of 20 percent (18 percent in 2004 and 22 percent in 2005).
The evaluation of the labor market size - short incursion
The size of labor market directs to the evaluation of the two sides: demand and
supply.
The results presented afterwards are based on the monitored small and large ads
in the written press and also on some specialized websites. Based on this research
resulted mainly the following aspects:
a) Supply of places of labor
The measurement of the supply of labor places has the character of an estimation
based on sounding research. Was monitored the small and large ads and some specialized
websites. Also were surveyed the current numbers of the “Romania Libera” publication
for 8 weeks as well as an representative sample of the editions between January
1990 - March 2006, respectively specialized websites on a period of three weeks.
Table 2 presents the places of labor in the likeness of a structure: total, from
which economists with superior studies, from which ones for Bucharest.
The main ascertainments regards:
Reduced ratio of economists demand through small ads, from which the most
are wanted in Bucharest (almost 73 percent);
Demands by large ads and also through specialized websites exceed 40 percent,
from which over half are in Bucharest, the requirements of economists exceed 42
percent of total. It’s a new evidence of business climate more active in the capital
city.
Table 2. Places of labor offered - general presentation
|
Small ads written press
(sa wp) (%)
|
Large ads written press
(la wp) (%)
|
Specialized websites
(www) (%)
|
Total places of labor
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
- from which are economists
|
10,7
|
43,4
|
41,5
|
- from which are for Bucharest
|
72,8
|
51,9
|
62,7
|
* from which for economists
|
10,3
|
43,1
|
42,5
|
Source: Own researches 2006: written press and specialized websites
Another aspect we believe attractively is incident to the size of the large ads.
Each large add was measured from viewpoint of the length and the width in order
to compare also the area, not only the frequency of appearance. Wasn’t considered
if the add was polychrome or monochrome, and consequently, the average price that
can be estimated may be a little underestimated[7].
The average area of the ads monitored and measured was of approximately 265 cm2.
Considering the listed price of a black-and-white ad means that for each appearance
was paid, on the average, about 500 Euro. We can suppose that, at large, the positions
announced within large ads are important and obvious the retributions are on measure.
Figure 4. The structure of the offer of labor places depending on field
of expertise
Source: Own researches 2006: written press and specialized websites
The “fight” between "small ads" versus "large ads" and "specialized websites" appears
natural pursuant the fact that, usually, in the large ads the positions are definitely
dominated by positions corresponding to superior studies compared to the positions
for unqualified or qualified workers with no superior studies which appear more
frequently in the case of small ads. Regarding the specialized websites the situation
looks similar if we take into consideration the profile of the surfers on the internet.
Thus, for instance, a firm that want to hire a caretaker has little or no chance
to find it among the persons that searches a work place on the internet.
The economist’s eligibility for a certain job is determined by specific educational
demands, mentioned on the most of the ads, or by the fact that one notices relatively
vague ad (we hire young person with superior studies, knowledge of PC, driving license,
experience in marketing, without obligations, speaking English language is an advantage
etc.).
Figure 5. The structure of supply of labor places depending on the
geographic zone
Source: Own researches 2006: written press and specialized websites
Data indicates a domination of the capital city within the supply of labor places
(72,8 percent for the small ads, 51,9 for large ads and 62,7 in the case of the
notices on the specialized websites), the capital city having also the lowest unemployment
ratio (2,6 percent[8]).
The bigger number of labor places in the case of small ads offers us and the decryption
key. For the proper positions corresponding to low levels of studies are preferred
small ads in local newspapers, known the local affinity for the local press.
Large ads, correlated with the attractive salaries, are prevalent published in a
national quotidian because in these cases can be considered also and a possible
relocation of the employee, a relatively new aspect and which no longer represents
a characteristic of the western countries.
Figure 6. The structure of supply of labor places in Bucharest depending
on field of expertise
Source: Own researches 2006: written press and specialized websites
Given the location of ASE in the capital city (mainly, the territorial centers having
low age, low attendance number, and mostly a low impact) we intended to study also
and the field of expertise of the ads Bucharest.
Were registered high rates in the case of internet ads or large ads, situation strictly
correlated to the reorganization and development of economic area within the last
years. Thus, shortly after 1989 appeared departments or even companies specialized
on sales, marketing and brokerage, also in exponential rhythms developed the insurances
companies, the banking sector from an incipient development level reached a explosive
evolution, each one of the more than 500 IMM (Small and Medium Companies) requires
financial and accounting assistance from specialists or specialized companies. Besides
this fact, in ASE, the faculty of CSIE “produces" graduates that are successfully
integrated and non-economical jobs[9],
such as the one in the informatics area or in the area of modeling processes of
decisional fundaments, in departments of analyses and strategists etc.
b) The demand of labor places
The estimation of the demand of labor places in general and of economists in particular,
was accomplished using the same informational sources as the estimation of the supply.
But on the other way the demand of labor places in the economic area can be estimated
also by starting from the number of graduates (fault-free number with a percentage
of those which are working already) whereat are added the graduates from older generations
which are in quest of a place of labor. Another aspect implies that for a certain
price (salary package), almost any employee can enter into the category of persons
that forms the demand. In other words a employee that doesn’t search for a place
of labor can accept a offer for a position in a organization without the classic
necessary steps (deposit CV, initial interviews etc.). Consisted so the size of
demand is relatively “volatile”, function of the work price. Given the situation
in which is found our country, when salary raises (because of the imminent U.E.
integration, of the appreciation of national currency) has become a usual fact that
raises to relative high quotas the point where the demand meets the supply, leads
to the mentioned “volatility”. In the table 3 are presented the results of monitoring
the written press and websites.
Table 3. Estimation of places of labor demanded
|
Small ads written press
(sa wp) (%)
|
Specialized websites
(www) (%)
|
Total places of labor
|
100
|
100
|
- from which are economists
|
21,8
|
31,4
|
- from which are for Bucharest
|
72,0
|
50,2
|
* from which for economists
|
20,7
|
37,9
|
Source: Own researches 2006: written press and specialized websites
Figure 7. The structure of the applications of labor depending on area
Source: Own researches 2006: written press and specialized websites
From the results of the investigations undertaken, the ratio of economists in quest
of a place of labor can’t be neglected. Some amendments are though welcomed. Thus,
not for all people that search a place of labor means that have none at the respective
moment; there is also the category of employees that want to change the place of
labor (to a possibly better one).
Figure 8. The structure of the labor places demands depending on the
geographic zone
Source: Own researches 2006: written press and specialized websites
Also in the area of labor places demand is maintained a the difference "Bucharest"
-"province", because the persons in quest of a place of labor in other localities
of the country use, with preponderance, the local newspapers.
Regarding the www environment, the weight of the capital is reduced significantly
but, most likely due to a rate of development of the Internet, and is registered
thus a level (50,2 percent) high above weight hold by the capital in all the economy.
Figure9. The structure of labor places demand in Bucharest, depending
on field of expertise
Source: Own researches 2006: written press and specialized websites
The previous reflections regarding the areas of interest of those that demand a
labor place also keeps their signification in this case.
The high levels of demands of labor places placed by graduates of economic universities
can indicate a higher mobility of the work force on the market, but also in a certain
measure a masked advertising for consultancy services, as well as a weak insertion
on the labor places market. Given the fact that the unemployment in Bucharest is
among the lowest in the country, maybe the third presumption is the least plausible.
Conclusions
The result of demand meeting supply on the labour market could be measured in two
dimensions: unemployment rate and labour price.
When talking about unemployment a higher rate means that on the labour market, demand
exceeds supply. In the figure no. 10. it is shown the unemployment rates on the
county level.
Figure 10. Unemployment rates on December 31st, 2005
Source: ANOFM, 2005 Annual Report
Bucharest (2,6%) and Ilfov (2,3%) register the lowest unemployment rates in the
country. Not so good is the case of the Southern region where ASE is collecting
most of its students from (for example: Ialomita -12,3% - is the highest unemployment
rate in the country). It is very likely that these highschool graduated choose ASE
based on their future intention to establish in Bucharest.
The low level of unemployment rate in Bucharest could be interpretated as a good
insertion of ASE graduated in local labour market. This is also proved by the preliminary
results of a statistic survey among ASE graduated. According to this survey only
14,5% of questioned graduated declared that they had a longer than three months
period of unemployment. Supporting this conclusion and also indicated that ASE curricula
responds to general demand are the 81% answers of those who admitted that their
work follows their ASE formation.
Secondly the encounter between demand and supply from labour market is also set
by labour price. Labour price is given by salarial package as contracted. Normally
salarial package contains more than simple salary[10]. According to the preliminary results of student’s survey
mentioned before, in the case of the ASE graduated income, studied from financial
point of view, we may conclude that the average ASE graduated income is situated
at 440 Euro which is significantly higher than national average salary of 240 Euro[11] (financial intermediations
732 Euro, industry 238 Euro, IT and research 364 Euro, administration 364 Euro,
education 255 Euro). Using geographical criteria, the Bucharest-Ilfov region register
an average salary of 295 Euro much more than 217 Euro as it is in North-East region.
References
Chisu, V.A., Comanache, D. Top facultati, Capital magazine no. 23, June 8, 2006, Bucharest, pag. 56-57
Freeman, R. It’s Better Being an Economist (But Don’t Tell Anymore), Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 13, No. 3, Summer 1999, pag.. 139-145
Greenaway, D. The Market for Economists in the UK: Editorial Note, The Economic Journal, March 1990
Mantaluta, O. (coord.) Impactul resurselor materiale asupra reusitei scolare, ISE, Bucharest, 2005
Perry, K. Statistical Relationship of Accounting and Economics, The Accounting Review, Vol. 30, No. 3, July 1955, pag. 500-506
Thorton, R., Ward, J. The Economist in Tort Litigation, Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 13, No. 2, Spring 1999, pag. 101-112
Towse, R. Blaug, M. The Current State of the British Economics Profession, Royal Economic Society, 1988
* * *, Euro200 Impact, Ministerul Educatiei si Cercetarii, Bucharest, 2006 (preprint)
* * * Raport activitate ANOFM 2005, Bucharest, 2006
* * *, Comunicat de presa privind castigul salarial din luna aprile 2006, INS, Bucharest, June 5, 2006
End Notes:
[1] The scientific research activities
were financial supported by ASE through “2007-2013 Strategy of Development Project”.
We are grateful for constructive comments and suggestions which come from scientific
research team: Ovidiu Nicolescu, Ion Verboncu, Mihai Korka, Constantin Popescu,
Constantin Bratianu, Eduard Dinu, Marius Profiroiu, Ion Popa, Cristian Socol, Ionela
Jianu, Andreea Dima and Sebastian Ceptureanu.
[2] Similar studies were conducted
in other countries. We should mention: Towse, R. Blaug, M. The Current State of the
British Economics Profession, Royal Economic Society, 1988; Freeman, R.
It’s Better Being an Economist (But Don’t Tell Anymore),
Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 13, No. 3, Summer 1999, pag.. 139-145; Perry,
K. Statistical Relationship of Accounting and Economics, The Accounting Review,
Vol. 30, No. 3, July 1955, pag. 500-506; Greenaway, D. The Market for Economists
in the UK: Editorial Note, The Economic Journal, March 1990; Thorton, R.,
Ward, J. The Economist in Tort Litigation, Journal of Economic Perspectives,
Vol. 13, No. 2, Spring 1999, pag. 101-112
[3] Ministerul Educatiei si Cercetarii,
Euro200 Impact, Bucharest, 2006 (preprint).
[4] Mantaluta, O. (coord.) Impactul
resurselor materiale asupra reusitei scolare, ISE, Bucharest, 2005 paper
available on the internet: http://portal.ise.ro/Management/tabid/83/Default.aspx
[5] Preliminary results of a statistical
survey among ASE students conclude that 52,9% of them have had at least one part
time job and 32,7% a full time one.
[6] Theoretical formation usually
for pre-university education career.
[7] This underestimation is due to
the fact that some big employment ads are polychrome, therefore more expensive.
[8] According to ANOFM 2005 annual
activity report.
[9] Accordingly to a recent study
published in Capital magazine, Faculty of Cybernetics, Statistics and Economic
Computer Science from ASE comes on the second place after Faculty of Electronics,
Telecommunications and Information Technology from University Politehnica of Bucharest
(Chisu, V.A., Comanache, D. Top facultati, Capital magazine no. 23 from June
8, 2006, Bucharest, pag. 56-57) in the top of the facultaties form Bucharest-Ilfov
region.
[10] This about health insurances,
company cars, company mobile phones, paid vacations and other benefits.
[11] Source: * * *, Comunicat de
presa privind castigul salarial din luna aprile 2006, INS, Bucharest, June
5, 2006